Manifold is a social prediction market platform that lets users bet on real-world outcomes using play-money currency rather than real cash. Manifold's Twitter Score is 47 out of 1000 as of October 2026, ranking #19,612 (top 5%) among 500,579 tracked accounts.
Manifold was founded by Austin Chen, Stephen Grugett, and James Grugett. The platform operates on a play-money currency called Mana, which cannot be converted to cash; every new user receives M1,000 at no cost. Alongside its play-money markets, Manifold runs prize drawings in which winners can receive real USDC, requiring a crypto wallet to collect winnings. In September 2024, Manifold introduced real-money betting through a mechanism called Sweepcash, but that feature was discontinued on March 28, 2025.
Manifold has received backing from the Survival and Flourishing Fund and previously received backing from the FTX Future Fund and the Astral Codex Ten grant program. Manifold is affiliated with Manifund, with Manifest, and with the GitHub organization Manifold Markets. Manifold has published 9,668 posts and has been mentioned by 56 accounts a total of 136 times.
Who follows Manifold on X?
The accounts that follow Manifold include 180 founders, 42 angel investors and 70 influencers, among them Toly, Laura Shin, SBF, Shayne Coplan, Jesse Powell and John Wang.