Metaculus is a public-benefit online forecasting platform that aggregates crowd predictions and applies machine-learning optimization to produce refined aggregate forecasts. Metaculus's Twitter Score is 21 out of 1000 as of October 2026, ranking #48,128 (top 10%) among 498,348 tracked accounts.
Metaculus was co-founded by Anthony Aguirre, Carroll "Max" Wainwright, David Levine, and Greg Laughlin, and is organized as a Public Benefit Corporation. Unlike conventional prediction markets, the platform uses a reputation-based forecasting model with no native crypto token. Its platform code is open source under the BSD-2-Clause license.
Metaculus operates FutureEval, a benchmark designed to measure the forecasting ability of AI agents, and runs a Labor Automation Forecasting Hub focused on critical near-term questions about workforce automation. The platform previously hosted a Cryptocurrency Contest in 2017, an early signal of its engagement with emerging technology topics. Metaculus has received backing from the Survival and Flourishing Fund and the Effective Altruism Infrastructure Fund, and was previously backed by the FTX Future Fund.
Metaculus has published 3,783 posts on the platform and has been mentioned by 42 accounts, with 91 total mentions.
Who follows Metaculus on X?
The accounts that follow Metaculus include 103 founders, 23 angel investors and 21 influencers. Notable followers include Andrew Chen, Joey Krug, timbeiko.eth, Jacob, T11s and Jeff Morris Jr.